Poland’s ruling party, Law and Justice (PiS), appears to have emerged from the first round of voting in local elections on October 21 with a share of the vote well below expectations. The party, which in opinion polls regularly scores in the high forties, is projected by exit polls to have taken around 32.5 per cent of votes: lower support than it got in Poland’s 2015 general election.
If confirmed when official results are released on October 23 and 24, PiS would still have taken more votes than any other party, but the image it has lately painted of itself, as an all-conquering electoral machine with unwavering support from a majority of Poles, would have been severely damaged.
Party leader Jarosław Kaczyński, Poland’s most powerful politician, tried to remain positive, saying that it was a “good result that bodes well for the future. It’s a good sign.” However, he added: “We have to work, work and again work. This is the beginning of an election campaign which will end in May 2020. There’s a lot of heavy work ahead of us, but we’ll manage.”
The leading opposition party, Civic Platform, won an estimated 24.7 per cent of the vote, almost the same as it won in 2015. Its former coalition partner, the agrarian Polish People’s Party, is projected to have taken 16.6 per cent.
PiS appears to have performed particularly badly in Poland’s larger cities. In the capital Warsaw, Rafał Trzaskowski, the Civic Platform candidate, easily defeated Deputy Justice Minister Patryk Jaki to become the city’s new mayor, taking 54.1 per cent of the vote. PiS had been confident of winning in Warsaw, a traditionally liberal city. Civic Platform also won mayoral races in some other cities, including Poznań, Łódz and Lublin, giving the party, and its leader Grzegorz Schetyna, a boost ahead of European and parliamentary elections next year.
Errr – the party of government did better in these local elections than they did in the last elections. The results in the regional assemblies will be interesting, as Law and Justice could massively increase the number of regions they run, from the present 1.
That will be important, as the regional assemblies have stopped central government from building social housing.
If compared to past local elections, the vote percentage for PiS is indeed higher. But when compared to the general election of 2015, vote share is down.
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